Illustrative Geopolitical Drivers (2025-2035)
21
Driver P10 (or limited impact) P90 (or high impact)
Global GDP
Growth
Anemic (2%) Robust growth (4%)
Trade conflict WTO/globalization returns Escalating trade wars
China Détente Taiwan conflict
Russia Stalemate Escalation
Middle East Stalemate Escalation
Climate
Agreement
Limited New Global Accord
Others?
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