10
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Technology adoption curves are accelerating – AI technologies have seen the fastest
adoption curves ever experienced
Context Setting Technology Policy &Regulatory Geopolitics Climate Market
Technology adoption in US market
Years since first mass market product
AI1
Source(s): National Bureau of Economic Research
Note(s): 1. Based on ChatGPT adoption, assuming 2.5 people per US household
Key
AI
Internet
Cell phone
Computer
VCR
Microwave
Colour TV
Air Conditioner
Refrigerator
Radio
Auto
Electricity
Telephone
Time to reach AI equivalent
penetration (2 years in)
Internet – 6 years
Cell phone – 10.5 years
Computer – 12 years
Automobiles – 27 years
Market penetration of U.S. households (millions)
2⦁
3⦁
4⦁
1⦁
1 2 4 3 AI penetration
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Technology adoption curves are accelerating – AI technologies have seen the fastest
adoption curves ever experienced
Context Setting Technology Policy &Regulatory Geopolitics Climate Market
Technology adoption in US market
Years since first mass market product
AI1
Source(s): National Bureau of Economic Research
Note(s): 1. Based on ChatGPT adoption, assuming 2.5 people per US household
Key
AI
Internet
Cell phone
Computer
VCR
Microwave
Colour TV
Air Conditioner
Refrigerator
Radio
Auto
Electricity
Telephone
Time to reach AI equivalent
penetration (2 years in)
Internet – 6 years
Cell phone – 10.5 years
Computer – 12 years
Automobiles – 27 years
Market penetration of U.S. households (millions)
2⦁
3⦁
4⦁
1⦁
1 2 4 3 AI penetration
