June  2007  Capital  Adequacy  Extension  ©  Copyright  2007,  CCRO.  All  rights  reserved.  Page  13  of  92  Figure  2.1:  Capital  Adequacy  On  the  Economic  Value  end  of  the  balance  beam,  Economic  Capital  relates  a  company’s  Risk  Capital  to  its  Equity  position.  On  the  Financial  Liquidity  end  of  the  balance  beam,  Cash  Flow  at  Risk  relates  a  company’s  Working  Capital  to  its  potential  demands  for  cash.  Chapters  3-8  of  this  paper  will  focus  on  the  specific  determination  of  Equity,  the  Risk  Capital  requirement,  and  the  determination  of  Liquidity  Adequacy  however  for  the  moment  let’s  focus  on  the  balance  between  Economic  Value  and  Financial  Liquidity.  While  there  are  thousands  of  permutations  as  to  why  companies  go  bankrupt,  theoretically  there  are  basically  two  situations  when  a  company  can  go  bankrupt  1)  when  they  can't  pay  their  bills  due  to  insufficient  Liquidity  (Financial  Liquidity)  and  2)  when  Total  Liabilities  Total  Assets  wiping  out  any  Equity  (Economic  Value)  in  the  company.  To  demonstrate  how  these  two  concepts  are  interrelated,  let’s  examine  two  scenarios.  Economic  Value  Economic  Value  Financial  Liquidity  Financial  Liquidity  CAPITAL  ADEQUACY  CAPITAL  ADEQUACY  Net  Assets  Debt  Economic  Capital  Capital  Shortfall  Cash  From  Ops  Fixed  Pay-  ments  Cash  On  Hand  Credit  Lines  Risk  Aggregation  Cash  Flow  -  at  -  Risk  Capital  Shortfall  0  0.005  0.01  0.015  0.02  0.025  0.03  $0  $9  $18  $27  $36  $45  $54  $63  $72  $81  $90  $99  $108  $117  $126  $135  0  0.05  0.1  0.15  0.2  0.25  0.3  0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  Loss  from  Credit  Defaults  ($MM)  Probability  -40  -35  -30  -25  -20  -15  -10  -5  0  Internal  External  Physical  Market  Risk  Assessment  Credit  Risk  Assessment  Operative  Risk  Assessment  
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