February  2006  Market  Clearing  in  the  Energy  Industry  5-31  ©  Copyright  2006,  CCRO.  All  rights  reserved.  and  other  transaction  costs.  Financial  engineering  creates  useful  risk  management  products  and  inject  capital  into  energy  markets  from  investors  who  would  otherwise  lack  access.  Many  trading  organizations  believe  that  inconsistent  and  uneconomic  credit  arrangements  are  limiting  the  value  that  their  organizations  can  bring  to  the  energy  markets.  But  the  nature  of  the  issues  differs  substantially  between  the  spot  and  day-ahead  markets,  and  the  forward  markets.  5.4.1.  Trading  Obstacles  When  asked  to  name  obstacles  to  fuller  participation  in  the  day-ahead  and  spot  markets,  trading  organizations  identified  two  impediments:  •  The  misunderstanding  of  the  true  risk  of  their  activities  by  ISO’s  and  other  market  participants  •  RTO/ISO  credit  and  settlement  policies  and  procedures  As  evidence  of  the  misunderstanding  of  the  true  risk  of  their  activities,  trading  organizations  cited  inconsistency  in  credit  arrangements  required  of  trading  organizations.  Trading  organizations  engaging  in  proprietary  trading  and  market  making  in  financially  settled  transactions  in  the  day-ahead  markets  (a.k.a.  Virtual  Trading)  must  post  collateral  that  is  multiples  of  the  collateral  that  generators  and  load  serving  entities  must  post  when  transacting  in  otherwise  equivalent,  physically  settled  trades.  Trading  organizations  maintain  that  these  inconsistencies  exist  even  though  they  believe  that  the  risk  imposed  on  the  market  is  exactly  the  same.  Evidence  cited  by  traders  supporting  the  notion  of  inconsistent  credit  policies  includes  PJM’s  separate  credit  policy  for  Virtual  Trading  that  results  in  a  two-time  (2X)  collateral  multiplier,  NE-ISO’s  2.6X  multiplier,  MISO’s  2X  multiplier,  and  NYISO’s  2X  multiplier.  It  is  the  position  of  some  trading  organizations  that  these  large  multipliers  result  from  a  concern  about  price  spikes  and  the  risk  that  such  spikes  could  produce  large  credit  exposures  when  bids  are  cleared.  However,  these  trading  organizations  cite  evidence  of  strong  convergence  of  day-ahead  markets  and  spot  markets,  aided  in  part  by  the  liquidity  and  price  discovery  engendered  by  the  trading  organizations  themselves.  However,  there  may  be  another  explanation  for  the  unequal  treatment  of  trading  organizations  and  other  market  participants:  the  real  or  perceived  inequality  in  their  credit  standing.  Generators  and  load  serving  entities  have  real  assets  and  real  customers.  Their  balance  sheets  and  income  statements  are,  generally,  solid  and  produce  reliable  cash  flows.  This  increases  their  credit  capacity  and  their  credit  standing.  In  many  cases  this  robust  credit  capacity  and  credit  standing  is  reflected  in  a  good  public  credit  rating  and  an  ability  to  raise  capital  through  debt  financing.  In  contrast,  many,  but  not  all,  trading  organizations  do  not  have  either  a  stable  or  reliable  source  of  cash  flow.  That  said,  an  exacerbating  factor  in  the  disparity  in  credit  requirements  between  trading  organizations  and  other  market  participants  may  be  due  to  a  misunderstanding  of  the  actual  credit  risk  associated  with  the  trading  activity.  If  so,  the  solution  is  straightforward:  collect  the  facts,  do  the  analysis  and  refine  the  ISO  credit  policies.  If  
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